Theory and Applications of Time Series Analysis

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About this book

This book presents a selection of peer-reviewed contributions on the latest advances in time series analysis, presented at the International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting (ITISE 2019), held in Granada, Spain, on September 25-27, 2019. The first two parts of the book present theoretical contributions on statistical and advanced mathematical methods, and on econometric models, financial forecasting and risk analysis. The remaining four parts include practical contributions on time series analysis in energy; complex/big data time series and forecasting; time series analysis with computational intelligence; and time series analysis and prediction for other real-world problems. Given this mix of topics, readers will acquire a more comprehensive perspective on the field of time series analysis and forecasting.

The ITISE conference series provides a forum for scientists, engineers, educators and students to discuss the latest advances and implementations in the foundations, theory, models and applications of time series analysis and forecasting. It focuses on interdisciplinary research encompassing computer science, mathematics, statistics and econometrics.

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Table of contents (29 papers)

Front Matter

Pages i-xiv

Advanced Statistical and Mathematical Methods for Time Series Analysis

Front Matter

Random Forest Variable Selection for Sparse Vector Autoregressive Models

Covariance Functions for Gaussian Laplacian Fields in Higher Dimension

Pages 19-29

The Correspondence Between Stochastic Linear Difference and Differential Equations

Pages 31-49

New Test for a Random Walk Detection Based on the Arcsine Law

Pages 51-61

Econometric Models and Forecasting

Front Matter

Pages 63-63

On the Automatic Identification of Unobserved Components Models

Pages 65-79

Spatial Integration of Pig Meat Markets in the EU: Complex Network Analysis of Non-linear Price Relationships

Pages 81-97

Comparative Study of Models for Forecasting Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Capitalization

Pages 99-112

Industry Specifics of Models Predicting Financial Distress

Pages 113-123

Stochastic Volatility Models Predictive Relevance for Equity Markets

Pages 125-143

Empirical Test of the Balassa–Samuelson Effect in Selected African Countries

Pages 145-159

Energy Time Series Forecasting

Front Matter

Pages 161-161

End of Charge Detection by Processing Impedance Spectra of Batteries

Pages 163-176

The Effect of Daylight Saving Time on Spanish Electrical Consumption

Pages 177-190

Wind Speed Forecasting Using Kernel Ridge Regression with Different Time Horizons

Pages 191-203

Applying a 1D-CNN Network to Electricity Load Forecasting

Pages 205-218

Long- and Short-Term Approaches for Power Consumption Prediction Using Neural Networks

Pages 219-236

Forecasting Complex/Big Data Problems

Front Matter

Pages 237-237

Other volumes

Theory and Applications of Time Series Analysis

Editors and Affiliations

Faculty of Sciences, University of Granada, Granada, Spain

ETSIIT, CITIC-UGR, University of Granada, Granada, Spain

About the editors

Olga Valenzuela is an Associate Professor at the Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Granada, Spain, where she received her Ph.D. in 2003. She has worked as an invited researcher at the Department of Statistics, University of Jaen, Spain, and at the Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Genova, Italy. Her research interests include optimization theory and applications, statistical analysis, fuzzy systems, neural networks, time series forecasting using linear and non-linear methods, evolutionary computation and bioinformatics. She has published more than 65 papers listed in the Web of Science.

Fernando Rojas is an Associate Professor at the University of Granada, Spain, where he received his Ph.D. in 2004. His research focuses on signal processing, artificial intelligence techniques for optimization, including evolutionary computation, fuzzy logic, neural networks etc., and the study of computer architectures for parallel processing in complex problems, such as time series prediction. He has published over 25 articles in JCR-indexed journals. A former coordinator of the Master’s Degree in Computer and Network Engineering at the University of Granada, he has been the secretary of the Master’s Degree in Data Science and Computer Engineering since 2014, and the secretary of the Department of Architecture and Computer Technology at the University of Granada since 2018.

Luis Javier Herrera is an Associate Professor at the University of Granada, Spain, where he received his Ph.D. in 2006. His research focuses on machine learning techniques (fuzzy logic, deep learning, genetic algorithms, etc.), and on their optimization and application over a wide range of scientific problems related to classification, approximation and time series prediction, sometimes requiring high-performance computing systems. These applications include relevant problems in several fields such as biomedicine, bioinformatics, biochemistry, physics, optics, etc. He has published more than 40 papers in JCR-indexed journals. Over the last several years, he has (co-)led a number of research projects backed by national and regional funding entities.

Héctor Pomares has been a Full Professor at the University of Granada, Spain, since 2001. He has published more than 50 articles in JCR-indexed journals and contributed over 150 papers to international conferences. He has led or participated in 15 national projects, one independent R&D Excellence project and 13 contracts for innovative research through the University of Granada Foundation Company and the Office of Transfer of Research Results. He has been a visiting researcher at numerous prestigious research centers outside Spain. He is currently a member of the editorial board of the Journal of Applied Mathematics (JCR-indexed) and the coordinator of the Master’s Degree in Computer & Network Engineering at the University of Granada.

Ignacio Rojas is a Full Professor at the Department of Computer Architecture and Computer Technology, University of Granada, Spain. Throughout his research career, he has served as a principal investigator or otherwise participated in more than 20 research projects obtained in competitive tenders, including projects for the European Union, the I+D+I Spanish National Government and the Unit of Excellence of the Ministry of Innovation, Science and Enterprise Junta de Andalucía. He has published more than 260 scientific contributions listed in the Web of Science, including 90 articles in JCR-indexed journals.

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